How is it that Warren Buffett seems to be so good at picking stocks that increase their EPS year after year while automated screens tend to have much less success separating the companies that will continue to grow their EPS from those that simply had a good run for a decade or so but are now stalling out?
Someone sent me an email asking this very question.
I think it is helpful to look deeper than just the financial statements. Look inside the business. This seems to be something Warren Buffett does. The example I would give is Western Union (WU). This is a company where it looks like operating income is flat regardless of the economy:
2005: $1.27 billion
2006: $1.31 billion
2007: $1.32 billion
2008: $1.36 billion
2009: $1.28 billion
2010: $1.30 billion
2011: $1.39 billion
2012: $1.40 billion
However, that is only if you are looking at the bottom line. It is very misleading compared to what is actually happening in the business. The unit that matters the most to them is consumer-to-consumer transactions. And they break this out in terms of transactions and revenues. When you look at a spreadsheet with those numbers in it you see that until this most recent quarter, transactions always increased and prices always decreased.
Top 5 Electric Utility Stocks To Watch Right Now: National Instruments Corporation(NATI)
National Instruments Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells measurement and automation products to create virtual instrumentation systems for general, commercial, industrial, and scientific applications worldwide. The company sells or licenses application software and modular hardware that combines with industry-standard computers, networks, and third party devices to create measurement, automation, and embedded systems. Its system design software products include LabVIEW to design custom virtual instruments for scientists and engineers and provide data analysis, visualization, and sharing features; LabVIEW Real-Time and LabVIEW FPGA, which are modular software add-ons enabling users to configure their application programs and to build custom hardware devices for measurement or control protocols. The company also offers LabWindows/CVI programming environment for creating test and control applications; and Measurement Studio, which consists of measurement and automati on add-on libraries and additional tools for programmers. Its application software products include NI TestStand, a test management environment; NI VeriStand, a ready-to-use software environment; NI DIAdem that offers configuration-based technical data management, analysis, and report generation tools; and NI Multisim, which offers circuit design technology. In addition, the company provides hardware products and related driver software comprising data acquisition hardware/driver software, PXI modular instrumentation platform, modular instruments, machine vision/image acquisition, motion control, NI RIO hardware platform, industrial communications interfaces, GPIB interfaces/driver software, and VXI controllers/driver software. Further, it offers system configuration and deployment, calibration, warranty and repair, and customer training services, as well as software maintenance and technical support. National Instruments Corporation was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Eric Volkman]
National Instruments (NASDAQ: NATI ) has elected to maintain its dividend. The company declared a distribution of $0.14 per share, to be paid on Sept. 3 to shareholders of record as of Aug. 12. That amount matches each of the company's previous six distributions, the most recent of which was paid at the beginning of June. Before that, National Instruments handed out $0.10 per share.
- [By Brian Pacampara]
What: Shares of scientific tools manufacturer National Instruments (NASDAQ: NATI ) sank 13% today after its quarterly results and guidance missed Wall Street expectations. �
Best Warren Buffett Companies To Invest In 2014: Digital Ally Inc.(DGLY)
Digital Ally, Inc. engages in the production and sale of digital video imaging, audio/video recording, storage, and other products for use in law enforcement and security applications. Its digital audio/video recording and storage product line comprises an in-car digital audio/video system that is integrated into a rear view mirror; an all-weather mobile digital audio/video system designed for motorcycle, ATV, and boat uses; a miniature body-worn digital audio/video camera; a hand-held speed detection system based on light detection and ranging (LIDAR); a hand-held thermal imaging camera used for improved night vision; and a digital audio/video system, which is integrated into a law-enforcement style flashlight. The company?s products make self-contained video and audio recordings onto flash memory cards that are incorporated in the body of the digital video rear view mirror, officer-worn video, and audio system and flashlight. Digital Ally, Inc. sells its products to law enforcement agencies and other security organizations, as well as for consumer and commercial applications through direct sales and third-party distributors. The company is based in Overland Park, Kansas.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By James E. Brumley]
There's no denying Tesla Motors Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) has been one of year's top investment stories, with shares running up from less than $40 to more than $194 in just a few short months. But, as one might imagine, that 385% runup from TSLA creates something of a disconnect between the company and its share price. Time to head for the exit. Instead, a better use of that now-considerably-greater capital is a position in Digital Ally, Inc. (NASDAQ:DGLY) ... a stock that's also had a pretty good 2014, but has suffered more than a small setback since mid-September. Specifically, DGLY has pulled back from a peak price of $17.47 to a low of $9.88 as of Friday. But, it looks like that correction may have already come to an end.
Best Warren Buffett Companies To Invest In 2014: Post Holdings Inc (POST)
Post Holdings, Inc., incorporated on September 22, 2011, is a holding company. The Company is a manufacturer, marketer and distributor of branded ready-to-eat cereals in the United States and Canada. The Company�� portfolio of brands includes Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, Great Grains, Grape-Nuts, Shredded Wheat, Raisin Bran, Golden Crisp, Alpha-Bits and Honeycomb. It markets and sells ready-to-eat cereal products in three different categories: sweetened, balanced and unsweetened. Its sweetened products include Pebbles, Honeycomb, Golden Crisp, Alpha-Bits and Waffle Crisp. Its balanced products include Honey Bunches of Oats, Post Selects, Great Grains and Shreddies. The Company�� unsweetened products include Post Shredded Wheat, Post Raisin Bran and Grape-Nuts. Effective January 1, 2014, the Company announced it has completed the acquisition of private label pasta manufacturer Dakota Growers Pasta Company, Inc. Effective January 2, 2014, Post Holdings Inc acquired Agricore United Holdings Inc from Viterra Inc, a unit of Glencore Xstrata PLC, and the transaction also included Dakota Growers Pasta Company, Inc. Effective January 1, 2014, Post Holdings Inc acquired Dymatize Enterprises LLC, a Farmers Branch-based manufacturer and wholesaler of nutrition supplement. Effective January 1, 2014, it acquired Dymatize Enterprises LLC and Golden Boy Foods Ltd.
Honey Bunches of Oats is in the ready-to-eat cereal market. The Company�� Pebbles brands include Cocoa and Fruity Pebbles. The products are manufactured through a flexible production platform consisting of four owned primary facilities and sold through a variety of channels, such as grocery stores, mass merchandisers, club stores, and drug stores.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Maureen Farrell]
The first bit came from Herbalife bull William Stiritz, the CEO of Post Holdings(POST).
The market has viewed Post as a potential buyer of Herbalife, after Post’s CEO William Stiritz personally purchased a 6.7% stake in Herbalife. Last week one of�Wall Street’s most bullish analysts�on Herbalife joined Post Holdings as an adviser, raising even more questions about whether the cereal company might bid for Herbalife.
- [By Suravi Thacker]
Even peers such as Post Holdings (POST) were also facing similar problems of lower cereal sales. Post Holdings too reported its first quarter results recently which failed to meet analysts��expectations. Although its revenue grew 77% to $438 million over last year, the increase was mainly because of a host of acquisitions made by the company. In fact, revenue from Post Foods, which includes cereal business under the name of Post brand, fell 2.4% to $239.5 million.
- [By Shamus Funk]
Following the same line of logic, don't be surprised if Post (NYSE: POST ) Grape-Nuts soon carry the GMO-free label. They are currently marketing Vintage Grape-Nuts which do not contain the likely GMO-laden isolated soy protein that is found in their current formulation of the cereal. Presumably with a little consumer demand, the transition back to the original recipe would be easy and enable the GMO-free label.
Best Warren Buffett Companies To Invest In 2014: NeurogesX Inc.(NGSX)
NeurogesX, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing and commercializing pain management therapies. The company offers Qutenza for the management of neuropathic pain associated with postherpetic neuralgia, and for the treatment of peripheral neuropathic pain in non-diabetic adults. It also develops NGX-1998, which has completed Phase 2 clinical study, is a topical liquid formulation of high concentration capsaicin to treat neuropathic pain conditions; and acetaminophen prodrugs that is in preclinical stage for use in acute pain, including traumatic pain, post-surgical pain, and fever. The company was formerly known as Advanced Analgesics, Inc. and changed its name to NeurogesX, Inc. in September 2000. NeurogesX, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By CRWE]
Today, NGSX remains (0.00%) +0.000 at $.0054 thus far (ref. google finance Delayed: 11:59AM EDT July 18, 2013).
Acorda Therapeutics, Inc. previously reported it has acquired two neuropathic pain management assets from NeurogesX, Inc. (OTCBB: NGSX). Qutenza庐 is approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for the management of neuropathic pain associated with postherpetic neuralgia. The Company also acquired NP-1998, a Phase 3 ready, prescription strength capsaicin topical solution, being assessed for the treatment of neuropathic pain. NP-1998 was previously referred to as NGX-1998.
- [By CRWE]
Today, NGSX has shed (-6.67%) down -0.0005 at $.0070 with 29,206 shares in play thus far (ref. google finance Delayed: 10:44AM EDT July 17, 2013), but don�� let this get you down.
Acorda Therapeutics, Inc. previously reported it has acquired two neuropathic pain management assets from NeurogesX, Inc. (OTCBB: NGSX). Qutenza庐 is approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for the management of neuropathic pain associated with postherpetic neuralgia. The Company also acquired NP-1998, a Phase 3 ready, prescription strength capsaicin topical solution, being assessed for the treatment of neuropathic pain. NP-1998 was previously referred to as NGX-1998.
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