Tuesday, December 31, 2013

Thanksgiving sales robust at Walmart, Target

Cash-conscious shoppers gobbled up holiday bargains at discounters such as Target and Walmart on Thursday.

Both retailers reported robust Thanksgiving sales as shoppers stormed their stores in search of discounts on items such as TVs, toys, video games and cameras.

Walmart had more than 22 million shoppers in on Thanksgiving Day -- and about 10 million register transactions from 6 p.m. to 10 p.m. alone, says U.S. CEO Bill Simon.

"We're a service industry like hotels or airlines and our job is to try to anticipate what the customer wants to do," Simon says. If the Thanksgiving Day traffic is any indication, customers "clearly want to shop on Thursday evening and we'll provide that for them," he says.

At Target, crowds lined up hours before the 8 p.m. opening and traffic remained steady for several hours after it first let customers through its doors, the retailer says.

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Bryan Everett, senior vice president of stores, said that strong marketing efforts -- such as Target's store-specific map listing the location of the doorbuster sales -- helped to lure in holiday shoppers.

"We had a lot of guests who appreciated that," he says. "It took a little of the confusion out of the equation."

Elizabeth Bradley of Wilmington, Del., said Target made Thanksgiving Day shopping easy.

"It was organized," she says. "You got in and you got out quick. And they had plenty of stock."

Both retail chains had brisk online sales as well.

Target reported two times more online orders than during last year's early morning Thanksgiving deals. Toys and electronics were the most popular items, with products such as the iPad Air, large-screen TVs, Nintendo 3DS XL and Zoomer the Robot Dog selling well.

Walmart.com said it processed nearly 400 million page views on Thanksgiving Day. That figure includes customers who used mobile devices and tablets! . "There was incredible traffic to walmart.com," Simon says.

Hand-held video games and SLR digital cameras were among its most popular online sellers.

Walmart.com briefly had some technical issues, but is back up and running, says Simon. "We apologize to anyone who was frustrated," he says. "They can go back in now and they won't have any problems."

.

At both Target and Walmart stores, there was a strong turnout of families out shopping after their Thanksgiving meals.

"A couple people had custom T-shirts that said 'Family Black Friday Shopping 2013,'" Everett says.

Contributing: Bill McMichael of The (Wilmington) News Journal

Monday, December 30, 2013

An alternative bond strategy that contains no bonds

At the dawn of a cycle of rising interest rates, some of the efforts to help financial advisers and investors move beyond the tired old fixed-income allocations of the past are refreshing.

The latest example comes from Roger Isbitts, founder and chief investment strategist at Sungarden Investment Research.

Among a handful of separate-account models at the two-year-old firm is something called the cash-flow-focused strategy, which is essentially a marriage of dividend equity and long-short investing.

By now, income-seeking investors should know that the ground is shifting and asset allocation models based on historical bond performance won't likely work.

While it might be OK to make equity allocations based on historic market returns over multiple cycles, such applications for the bond side of a portfolio could leave income-seeking investors wildly unprepared.

“It used to be that your bonds would balance your stocks, but in an era of rising rates, we can no longer count on that,” Mr. Isbitts said. “The best hedge of a stock portfolio is something that by design moves in the opposite direction of the stock market.”

In other words, you might not need bonds at all for a modern-day bond allocation.

On the surface, the Sungarden cash-flow-focused strategy is relatively straightforward.

The first of three components includes dividend stocks that are yielding a least 1 percentage point above that of the S&P 500, which is currently yielding about 2%.

“The overriding goal of the portfolio is for the total yield to be 3 percentage points over the yield of the S&P,” Mr. Isbitts explained.

That is essentially the long side of the portfolio. It will hold up to 20 stocks, and positions will be either full or half, representing either 4% or 2% of the strategy. But the strategy is extremely flexible, and the total equity allocation could range from 80% to as low as 10%, depending on the outlook and broader market analysis.

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The second piece of the strategy is the hedge.

Mr. Isbitts uses broad-market-inverse exchange-traded funds for the short side of the strategy, which typically is a 20% short position.

The ultimate objective is to provide low-volatility income that looks and feels like historic bond allocations.

“In general, we have found that our equities will run somewhere in the 80-to-85 ! beta range if we're fully invested,” he said. “But by being fully hedged, our beta can get down to around 50.”

Mr. Isbitts said the strategy's target beta, or percentage of the S&P's volatility, is at 50, but that he recognizes a “beta comfort zone” of between 35 and 65.

The third component of the strategy is what he describes as diversifiers or “smoothers,” which include some bank loan and master limited partnership ETFs.

“We call it a smoother component because we are buying things that have a much lower beta, but this component is not a requirement of the strategy,” he said. “It's all part of the process of getting the beta to add up to where you want it to be.”

And therein lies the key to the strategy. Like a bond allocation, it is less about the performance than it is about reducing risk.

“It's always about a risk-return tradeoff, and that's how we target the total market exposure,” he said. “The question we ask ourselves all the time is: Will the market's next 10% move be up or down?”

Thursday, December 26, 2013

S&P 500 Extends Winning Streak to Six Days; Dow Makes the Most of Big Changes

So much for a scary September.

Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

Markets rallied again today, and if a downer of a month is destiny, we’ll have to wait a wee bit longer. The S&P 500 gained 0.7% to 1,683.99 today, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.9% to 15,191.06 on a day when big changes were announced for the index.

Today’s rally continued a trend that has belied September’s bad reputation. Consider: Six trading days into the month–and nearly a third of the way through–the S&P 500 has gained 3.1%, and has yet to finish in the red. That’s it’s longest winning streak since July. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, meanwhile, rose fifth time this month, only interrupted by Friday’s 0.1% decline. It’s now up 2.6% so far this month.

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Yes, investors are finally feeling some love for risky assets, as the big risks appear to be subsiding. A hard landing in China? Not yet. A U.S. attack on Syria? How about we give peace a chance? Even the beginning of the end for the Fed’s bond buying might not be such a worry if much of the potential damage is already priced in.

Or maybe not. I spoke with Barclays’ Barry Knapp today and he believes September could get a whole lot tougher. That’s because when the Federal Reserve begins tightening monetary policy–and yes, the end of QE qualifies–the market almost always falls, usually about 7% to 9%. “The market will turn more negative next week as it becomes clear the Fed will start to taper,” Knapp says. “I don’t think September is over.”

And even if that correction doesn’t occur this month, recent history suggest that the big September gains–or losses–in the S&P 500 come early in the month. According to my own admittedly shaky math, the S&P 500 gained 1.9% during the first six days of September in 2012, only to rise 2.6% for the entire month. In 2011, the benchmark fell 5.3% during the first six days of the month and finished down 7%. And in 2010, the S&P 500 gained 5.2% during the first six-trading days and closed September up 9%, a big gain, yes, but more than half the return was earned during the first third of the month.

Who’s feeling like a little risk taking?

Not investors in Restoration Hardware (RH). Its shares have dropped 2% in after-hours trading after it reported a profit of 49 cents a share, above forecasts for 43 cents, but offered mixed guidance. Oxford Industries (OXM) is off 7.3% at $60 after it announced a profit of $1.01, ahead of 98 cents consensus forecasts, but lowered its 2013 guidance. Shares of SunEdison (SUNE) have dropped 5.4% to $7.90 after it announced a secondary offering.

But it hasn’t been all bad news. Lannett (LCI) has gained 1.9% to $16.00 after it reported a profit of 12 cents, above the 7 cents forecast by analysts. And shares of Krispy Kreme (KKD) are unchanged after the company said it would earn 59 cents to 63 cents in the slides for a presentation tomorrow. Considering what happened the last time Krispy Kreme opened its mouth, that has to be considered good news.

Wednesday, December 25, 2013

Maintain investment discipline to ensure superior returns

At the time of its IPO, Sobha Developers reserved a quota of 10 per cent of the total equity for its employees. Incentives and benefits upto Rs 50,000 were given per employee to participate in the company's IPO where Rs 56 crore worth of shares were reserved for them.

Explaining its investment initiatives, JC Sharma, Vice Chairman & MD, Sobha Developers explained, "As and when the Budget comes in February, we ensure that all our employees are communicated with the kind of savings and what kind of instruments they should take to ensure that they can invest wisely on those schemes and save tax."

Also, given that the company is primarily into real estate, employees are given the maximum possible discount to buy a Sobha home.

An audience poll conducted by CNBC-TV18 suggested that almost 50 per cent of the employees are somewhat comfortable with stock markets or mutual funds. But an equal number said they are not at all comfortable while a minuscule 8 per cent said they are very comfortable.

Most people said they have most of the money still finding its way to traditional bank fixed deposit.  A mere 4 per cent invests in gold ETFs, which is in contrast with a whole lot of people interviewed so far, who are now beginning to favour gold ETFs.

Also, 16 per cent of people favour insurance investments. Currently, about 44 percent of people invest under one lakh, which ideally qualifies only a stack saving. The active wealth creation between Rs 1-3 lakh surplus annually is done by about 40 per cent and the real aggressive investors are about 8 percent.

CNBC-TV18's expert panel consisting Ambareesh Baliga, Independent Analyst and Uday Dhoot, Deputy CEO, International, Money Matters, talk to Sobha employees to solve their investment queries.

Below is the edited transcript of the interview with CNBC-TV18.

Q: If you look at India as a whole, things seem to be on the mend. There is some amount of liquidity that is also coming in maybe because of global sources. Do you see the return of retail investors, therefore, into the equity market?

Baliga: I do see the return of retail investors but I don't expect them to come back in droves tomorrow just because things have changed. After this four year of bearish stage we have been in, it will take a while for these retail investors to come back.

Unless they see that the market holding up at higher levels, I don't expect them to come back so soon. But hopefully, if things look better, I suppose in the next 4-6 months, you should see retail investors back.

Q: If retail investors are not participating in the equity market, there are still investments that are being done. A lot of it would be finding its way into mutual funds or other products, can you take us through the other gamut of products that are available besides the very obvious choices that people are making?

Dhoot: If you look at any investor in India, typically it starts with tax saving. So when it is tax saving, the traditional ways are first you go in for insurance, you go for PPF etc but most of the people are basically stuck in insurance. There is a lot of money which goes in insurance. The recent RBI report said in the last few years, investor interest is more towards physical assets by way of real estate, by way of gold and not necessarily towards financial assets.

Retail investors typically go in when the party is getting over and then get stuck and move along. But I think what people need to do is to know one's needs and then begin financial planning in terms of identifying what is the right product.

Q: Most investors following the traditional method of investment and choose to buy gold physically than invest in ETFs. Do you advise that ETF is the best form or to buy it in the physical form?

Dhoot: In India, gold has a lot of traditional value apart from the investment value that we have been talking about. Indians have been investing in gold for ages. But from purely an investment perspective, gold, for us, is nothing but like insurance in your portfolio. When will gold do well? Gold will do well when everything else around you is not doing so well.

Gold, otherwise, gives you no regular returns. There is no interest or dividend coming from gold. So, gold is purely a hedge against uncertainty. Now look at traditional investments, we have all been buying physical gold now. If you look at today's investments, you can buy gold through something called ETF, which is nothing but an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF), typically a unit of that gold ETF approximates to around 1 gram of gold.

You can buy even if you do not have a demat and trading account. You can buy gold through mutual funds as well by way of gold savings fund. Typically, these gold savings fund, in turn, invest in gold ETFs. In this way, you get exposure to gold from that. The good part about this gold is that all of this gold is backed by actual gold in banks. So, it is a fairly safe way of investing in gold.

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Thursday, December 19, 2013

Small-Caps with Dividend 'Upside'

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We are always on the lookout for small- and mid-cap dividend payers, and we view a history of dividend growth as a favorable indicator, explains Richard Moroney; here, he highlights three stocks on the buy list of Upside, which offer dividend-growth prospects.

Aceto (ACET) announced a 9% increase in its per-share dividend in August, the first increase since it switched to a quarterly payout schedule in 2012.

At $0.24 per share, the new annual dividend represents less than 26% of trailing 12-month earnings, so continued dividend growth is likely if Aceto can maintain its operating momentum.

For the September quarter, the maker of pharmaceutical and chemical products reported a 122% increase in per-share earnings on nearly 16% growth in sales. Aceto, reasonably valued at less than 17 times the two-analyst consensus profit estimate of $1.20 per share for the year ending June, is a Best Buy. The stock yields 1.2%.

When HanesBrands (HBI) initiated a quarterly dividend in April, the underwear maker said the move reflected its debt-reduction progress, cash-flow growth, and margin-improvement prospects.

The October acquisition of Maidenform Brands for $583 million means the bulk of free cash flow is likely slated for debt reduction.

But the annual payout represents less than 21% of expected 2013 per-share earnings, and the Maidenform deal has the potential to drive margins substantially higher over the next two to three years.

HanesBrands, yielding 1.1% and trading at a reasonable 15 times expected 2014 earnings, is a Best Buy.

Penske Automotive (PAG) announced a 6.3% increase in its quarterly dividend on October 23, saying the move reflected its confidence in the "strength of the auto retail marketplace."

Six days later, the company reported a nearly 22% increase in per-share profits on a nearly 15% sales gain for the September quarter. While pricing and gross profit margins were roughly flat, operating profit margins improved as overhead costs were spread over a bigger sales base.

Consensus expectations, calling for 15% per-share-profit growth in 2014, seem reasonable. Penske, yielding 1.6% and trading at 14 times expected 2014 earnings, is a Buy.

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Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Commodity investments set for record outflows

Commodity investments are heading for record outflows driven by withdrawals from gold exchange- traded funds as some investors lost faith in the traditional store of value, according to Barclays Plc.

Assets under management declined $88 billion since the start of the year through last month, Barclays said in a report Tuesday. Net outflows reached $36.3 billion, also set for a record decline, it said. Investments in precious metals slid 40% since 2012 to $119 billion.

“If precious metals ETPs are excluded, the picture is a lot more positive,” Barclays analysts led by Kevin Norrish wrote in the report. “Nevertheless we view 2014 as likely to be another difficult year for commodity investors as any clear and sustainable trends in prices will likely be few and far between.”

The Standard & Poor’s GSCI gauge of 24 raw materials dropped 3.2% since the start of 2013, headed for the worst year since the 43 percent drop in 2008. Fifty-two out of 67 commodity indexes tracked by Bloomberg are down this year as copper to corn tumbled into bear markets as supply surged.

Gold and silver are headed for the worst year since 1981 as the U.S. Federal Reserve prepared to trim its stimulus program and investors lost faith in precious metals as a store of value. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. called bullion a “slam-dunk” sell in October and said it was among the bank’s most bearish commodity forecasts for next year.

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ETP holdings backed by bullion slumped 31% this year to 1,802.46 metric tons, poised for the first outflow since the funds started trading in 2003. A further 311 tons will be withdrawn next year, a Bloomberg survey of 11 analyst estimates showed.

Excluding precious metals ETPs, commodity index swaps and ETPs had

Monday, December 16, 2013

Best Canadian Companies To Buy Right Now

Canadian Solar, Inc. (CSIQ) in collaboration with Strata Solar has completed the construction of two utility-scale solar power projects, with the third project to be completed very soon.

Located in North Carolina, these projects, namely, Lenoir 1, Lenoir 2 and Wilson 1 have electricity generation capacity of 18 megawatt (MW). These plants are a part of a 15-project portfolio expected to come online by 2013 end. Together these projects will have an electric generation capacity of 85 MW.

The three projects have used 40,608 Canadian Solar CS6P-P 245 and 19,896 CS6P-P 250 watt solar modules. Post completion, these plants will be able to power 2,500 homes and will allow the state to get rid of 13,250 metric tons of CO2 per year, which is equivalent to eradicating 3,944 cars from the road.

Strata Solar LLC is a leading provider of complete solar energy systems and installations in the U.S. It provides a full array of engineering, procurement and construction services. Strata Solar projects in North Carolina bring employment opportunities to the state and provide clean, sustainable energy.

Best Canadian Companies To Buy Right Now: KBR Inc. (KBR)

KBR, Inc. operates as an engineering, construction, and services company supporting the energy, hydrocarbon, government services, minerals, civil infrastructure, power, and industrial sectors worldwide. Its Downstream business unit provides front end engineering design; detailed engineering; engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC); EPC management; and program management services to petrochemical, refining, coal gasification, and syngas markets. The company?s Government and Infrastructure business unit provides program and project management, contingency logistics, operations and maintenance, construction management, engineering, and other services to military and civilian branches of governments and private clients. Its Services business unit delivers engineering, construction, construction management, fabrication, maintenance, and turnaround services. It also offers maintenance, construction, and drilling support services for offshore oil and gas producing facili ties using semisubmersible vessels. This segment serves oil, gas, petrochemicals, and hydrocarbon processing industries, as well as power, alternate energy, pulp and paper, industrial and manufacturing, and pharmaceutical industries. The company?s Technology business unit offers various process technologies, including value-added technologies in the coal monetization, petrochemical, refining, and syngas markets. Its Upstream business unit constructs liquefied natural gas, gas-to-liquids, onshore oil and gas production facilities, offshore oil and gas production facilities, and onshore and offshore pipelines. The company?s Ventures business unit invests in and manages projects, where the company provides engineering, construction, construction management or operations, and maintenance services. KBR, Inc. was founded in 1901 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Rich Smith]

    Raytheon's rockets will be deployed to defend the base, while Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT  ) is managing the overall project. And last week, we found out who will build it, when government contractor KBR (NYSE: KBR  ) was awarded $134 million to turn the 430-acre site into a missile base.

  • [By Rich Smith]

    The larger of the two awards, and by a few orders of magnitude, went to government contractor KBR (NYSE: KBR  ) , which won a firm-fixed-price, option-filled contract valued at up to $134.2 million to develop and construct a land-based missile defense system to be built in Deveselu, Romania. According to Time magazine, the missile base will be constructed on 430 acres of property located -- and we quote -- "125 miles southwest of Count Dracula's castle."

  • [By Louis Navellier]

    If we look at the sector using Portfolio Grader, we see that many of the big names in the group like Flour (FLR), Granite Construction (GVA) and KBR incorporated (KBR) are rated ��ell.��The anticipated spending for both government and private industry simply hasn�� materialized, and the companies are not seeing revenue or profit growth.

Best Canadian Companies To Buy Right Now: Mobile TeleSystems (MBT)

Mobile TeleSystems OJSC, together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services primarily in the Russian Federation, Ukraine, Uzbekistan, Armenia, and Belarus. The company provides a range of mobile and fixed line voice and data telecommunications services, including transmission, broadband, pay-TV, and various value-added services; and sells equipment and accessories. It also offers network access services, including mobile cellular voice and data communication services; automatic roaming services; GPRS and Internet access services; and 3G technology. In addition, the company�s services include the design, construction, and installation of local voice and data networks capable of interconnecting with fixed line operators; installation and maintenance of cellular payphones; lease of digital communication channels; and provision of access to open computer databases and data networks, including the Internet, as well as video conferencing, and fixed, local, and long-distance telecommunications services. Its value-added services comprise call divert/forwarding, caller ID and anti-caller ID display, conference calling, WiFi, GPRS, intelligent call assistant, APN remote access point, fixed mobile convergence, enhanced data rates for GSM Evolution, call barring, SMS, mobile office, voicemail, mobile banking, wireless application protocol, MTS-Connect, SIM-browser, point-to-point transfer, unstructured supplementary services data, downlink packet access, mobile TV, call waiting, MMS, ring tones, missed call alert, itemization of monthly bills, information and directory, international access, WEB and WAP portal, customer care system, ring back tone, collect call, and location-based services. As of December 31, 2011, the company had a mobile subscriber base of approximately 101.14 million. It has a strategic partnership with Vodafone. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Moscow, the Russian Federation.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Rich Smith]

    Over in Russia, market-leading cell phone provider Mobile TeleSystems (NYSE: MBT  ) has just confirmed that, as of 2012, it no longer sells Apple's (NASDAQ: AAPL  ) new iPhone models to its customers directly. The company does still stock, and sell, some older iPhone models. But for iPhone5 and on up, MTS now answers phone calls from Apple with a Spasibo, ne nada. ("Thanks, but no thanks.")

  • [By Eric Lam]

    Manitoba Telecom (MBT) gained 5.7 percent to C$33.93 after selling its Allstream fiber network business to Accelero Capital Holdings for C$520 million. The company will use the cash to invest in new wireless spectrum and improve the speed of its existing networks, Manitoba Telecom said in a statement.

Top Cheap Stocks To Buy For 2014: Royal Bank Of Canada(RY)

Royal Bank of Canada provides personal and commercial banking, wealth management services, insurance, corporate and investment banking, and transaction processing services under the RBC name worldwide. Its Canadian Banking segment offers personal financial services, business financial services, and cards and payment solutions. The company?s Wealth Management segment provides wealth and asset management, and estate and trust services to affluent and high net worth clients through distributors, as well as directly to institutional and individual clients in Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, and Latin America. Its Insurance segment provides various life and health insurance, including universal life, accidental death and critical illness protection, disability, long-term care insurance, and group benefits; and property and casualty insurance comprising home, auto, and travel insurance, as well as wealth accumulation solutions; and reinsurance products through retail ins urance branches, call centers, independent insurance advisors and travel agencies, financial institutions, and career sales force. The company?s International Banking segment offers various financial products and services to individuals, business clients, and public institutions in the U.S. and Caribbean. This segment also provides global custody, fund and pension administration, securities lending, shareholder services, analytics, and other related services to institutional investors. Royal Bank of Canada?s Capital Markets segment engages in the trading and distribution of fixed income, foreign exchange, equities, commodities, and derivative products for institutional, public sector, and corporate clients; and involves in investment banking, debt and equity origination, advisory services, corporate lending, private equity, and client securitization businesses. The company was founded in 1864 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Dividend]

    Here are the biggest dividend growth stocks:

    Royal Bank of Canada (RY) has a market capitalization of $100.81 billion. The company employs 75,376 people, generates revenue of $19.794 billion and has a net income of $7.205 billion. Royal Bank of Canada�� earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) amounts to $12.492 billion. The EBITDA margin is 63.10 percent (the operating margin is 32.55 percent and the net profit margin 25.49 percent).

  • [By Dan Caplinger]

    U.S. investors first became aware of the relative strength of Canadian banks during the U.S. financial crisis, but since then, they've realized the benefits of looking north of the border. Canada does have its own systemically important banks, which include not only Scotiabank but also Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY  ) , Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO  ) , and three other large financial institutions, but high capital requirements have demonstrated their creditworthiness and relative safety.

Best Canadian Companies To Buy Right Now: AmerisourceBergen Corporation (HOLDING CO)

AmerisourceBergen Corporation, a pharmaceutical services company, provides drug distribution and related services to healthcare providers and pharmaceutical manufacturers in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The company distributes brand-name and generic pharmaceuticals, over-the-counter healthcare products, home healthcare supplies and equipment, and related services to various healthcare providers, including acute care hospitals and health systems, independent and chain retail pharmacies, mail order pharmacies, medical and dialysis clinics, physicians, and long-term care and other alternate site pharmacies. It also offers various services, such as pharmaceutical packaging, pharmacy automation, inventory management, reimbursement and pharmaceutical consulting and staffing services, logistics services, and pharmacy management. In addition, AmerisourceBergen provides scalable automated pharmacy dispensing equipment, medication and supply dispensing cabinets , and supply management software to various retail and institutional healthcare providers. Further, the company offers distribution and other services to physicians, who specialize in various disease states; distributes plasma and other blood products, injectible pharmaceuticals, and vaccines; and provides drug commercialization, third party logistics, reimbursement consulting, data analytics, and outcomes research services for biotech and other pharmaceutical manufacturers, as well as practice management and group purchasing services for physician practices. Additionally, it delivers unit dose, punch card, unit-of-use, and other packaging solutions to institutional and retail healthcare providers; and offers contract packaging and clinical trial material services for pharmaceutical manufacturers. The company serves customers through a network of distribution and service centers, and packaging facilities. AmerisourceBergen was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Chesterb rook, Pennsylvania.

Best Canadian Companies To Buy Right Now: Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.(POT)

Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. produces and sells fertilizers and related industrial and feed products primarily in the United States and Canada. The company mines and produces potash, which is used as fertilizer. It also offers solid and liquid phosphate fertilizers; animal feed supplements; and industrial acids that are used in food products and industrial processes. In addition, the company produces nitrogen fertilizers, as well as nitrogen feed and industrial products, including ammonia, urea, nitrogen solutions, ammonium nitrate, and nitric acid. Further, it holds the right to mine 785,759 acres of land in Saskatchewan; and 58,263 acres of land in New Brunswick in Canada. The company sells its fertilizers primarily to retailers, dealers, co-operatives, distributors, and other fertilizer producers; industrial products primarily to chemical product manufacturers; and purified phosphoric acid directly to consumers of the product. Potash Corporation was founded i n 1953 and is based in Saskatoon, Canada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jon C. Ogg]

    Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. (NYSE: POT) was downgraded to Underweight from Overweight at HSBC.

    Speaking of out of favor stocks potentially creating a value situation, we have identified five big stocks trading under book value for you value investors.

  • [By Gavin Graham, President, Graham Investment Strategy, Ltd.]

    Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan (POT) has seen its share price fall by half over the last three years and almost 20% in the last month. That's due to the decrease in the price of potash and the collapse of the Belarus Potash joint venture.

  • [By Ulfberht Capital]

    Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan (POT) also known as PotashCorp is a Canadian fertilizer company with the largest integrated fertilizer production operation in the world. PotashCorp operates three major business segments Potash, Phosphate, and PCS Nitrogen.

  • [By Neha Chamaria]

    Which companies are in danger?
    Members of Canpotex --�PotashCorp (NYSE: POT  ) , Mosaic (NYSE: MOS  ) , and Agrium (NYSE: AGU  ) �-- are the worst hit when India slows down potash purchases, since Canpotex controls all potash exports out of Saskatchewan, Canada. Similarly, marketing association, PhosChem handles phosphate exports from the U.S., so its two members, PotashCorp and Mosaic, bear the brunt of lower sales in that regard, too.

Best Canadian Companies To Buy Right Now: Weatherford International Ltd(WFT)

Weatherford International Ltd. provides equipment and services used in the drilling, evaluation, completion, production, and intervention of oil and natural gas wells worldwide. It offers artificial lift systems, which include reciprocating rod lift systems, progressing cavity pumps, gas lift systems, hydraulic lift systems, plunger lift systems, hybrid lift systems, wellhead systems, and multiphase metering systems. The company also provides drilling services, including directional drilling, ?Secure Drilling? services, well testing, drilling-with-casing and drilling-with-liner systems, and surface logging systems; and well construction services, such as tubular running services, cementing products, liner systems, swellable products, solid tubular expandable technologies, and inflatable products and accessories. In addition, it designs and manufactures drilling jars, underreamers, rotating control devices, and other pressure-control equipment used in drilling oil and nat ural gas wells; and offers a selection of in-house or third-party manufactured equipment for the drilling, completion, and work over of oil and natural gas wells for operators and drilling contractors, as well as a line of completion tools and sand screens. Further, the company provides wireline and evaluation services; and re-entry, fishing, and thru-tubing services, as well as well abandonment and wellbore cleaning services; stimulation and chemicals, including fracturing and coiled tubing technologies, cement services, chemical systems, and drilling fluids; integrated drilling services; and pipeline and specialty services. It serves independent oil and natural gas producing companies. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Taylor Muckerman]

    Improperly hunting for tax havens
    While in the midst of reconciling tax-accounting issues, Weatherford International� (NYSE: WFT  ) came under SEC investigation for potentially selling goods to sanctioned Iran and Syria back in March 2012. The stock has yet to recover and has traded down 20.6% since March 16, 2012, while the S&P 500 is up 15% and rival Halliburton is up 23.9% over the same time frame.

  • [By Tony Daltorio]

    The biggest oilfield service companies should get a big lift from the boom, Moors said. That includes Schlumberger Ltd. (NYSE: SLB), Halliburton Co. (NYSE: HAL), Weatherford International Ltd. (NYSE: WFT), and Baker Hughes Inc. (NYSE: BHI).

  • [By Dr. Kent Moors]

    That's why some of the biggest OFS providers - like Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB), Halliburton (NYSE: HAL) and Weatherford International (NYSE: WFT) - have been buying up oil and gas equipment companies.

  • [By Jeremy Bowman]

    What: The shares of Weatherford International (NYSE: WFT  ) were getting a lift today, climbing as much as 10% after posting first-quarter results last night.

Sunday, December 15, 2013

The Surprising Benefits of Raising the Minimum Wage

The notion of raising the minimum wage has moved back into the national spotlight courtesy of U.S. President Barack Obama, who last week called for an increase in the federal minimum rate from the current $7.25 an hour to $10.10.

It's an idea the president last mentioned publicly in his State of the Union speech in February, when he called for raising the minimum wage to $9 by 2015.

Last Thursday fast-food workers in 100 cities brought still more attention to the issue by staging a nationwide walkout/protest to criticize the current minimum wage level and call for an increase to $15 an hour.

Opponents - including many conservatives - see higher minimum wage as harmful for business. It's a policy conservatives routinely attack, claiming that increasing it will force businesses to cut jobs and raise prices - hurting the very people it is supposed to help.

But raising the minimum wage would not only benefit low-income workers, it would stimulate the U.S. economy and save the government billions of dollars.

It's an issue that should have bipartisan support from across the political spectrum. The benefits of raising the minimum wage make at least as much sense from a conservative perspective as from a liberal perspective.

And, curiously enough, the conservative reasons for a minimum wage raise are the most compelling...

Venture capitalist Nick Hanauer, the founder of Second Avenue Partners, argues that raising the minimum wage is in fact essential to maintaining consumer demand.

"The fundamental law of capitalism is that if workers have no money, businesses have no customers," Hanauer wrote in a Bloomberg column in June. "That's why the extreme, and widening, wealth gap in our economy presents not just a moral challenge, but an economic one, too. In a capitalist system, rising inequality creates a death spiral of falling demand that ultimately takes everyone down."

The Benefits of Raising the Minimum Wage for Businesses

One of the primary objections from opponents of a minimum wage increase is that doing so will kill jobs and hurt profits, and by extension the U.S. economy.

But several studies, as well as some conservative thinkers, say that's backwards...

For example, a 2012 study by the non-partisan think tank Demos on the effect of raising the minimum wage on retailers found that U.S. gross domestic product could actually get a $15.2 billion boost, that 132,000 jobs would be created, and that the retailers would enjoy as much as $5 billion in additional revenue.

A 2011 study by the Chicago Federal Reserve showed that every dollar added to the minimum wage increased consumer spending for that household by $2,800 a year.

It's simple: If you raise the minimum wage, you put more money directly into the pockets of millions of people most likely to spend it. Just increasing the rate to $9 an hour would boost the wages of 13 million U.S. workers, according to the Economic Policy Institute.

"Raising the annual income of each such wage-earner couple by $8,000 or $10,000 would immediately send those same dollars flowing into the regular consumer economy, boosting sales and general economic activity," wrote Ron Unz, publisher of The American Conservative, in a paper last year calling for a rate increase to $10 to $12 an hour.

And while industries like retail and fast food restaurants would face higher costs, even they would enjoy some of the benefits of raising the minimum wage.

For one thing, higher wages would reduce turnover, which would save on operating costs and result in a better-trained, more productive workforce that would deliver more sales.

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In addition, with all low-wage workers spending more, some of that also would come back to the business in the form of higher revenue.

Studies also show that such benefits returning money back to affected businesses, as well as other ways of cutting costs, mean they would not have to increase their prices as much to cover their employees' higher pay.

Demos estimated that a minimum wage raise to $12.25 would raise costs to a middle-income family by just $36.80 per year, and to a lower-income family by just $24.87 per year.

In other words, we're talking about price increases so close to ordinary inflation that they'll hardly be noticed.

As for the much-feared job losses at the affected businesses, they, too, would be minimal. As Unz points out, few of these jobs can be automated or outsourced. More likely than job losses would be cutbacks in hours, and even then many low-wage workers would come out ahead.

Even small businesses, which are more likely to struggle with an increase in the minimum wage, won't lose many jobs. In a recent Gallup poll, 64% said an increase to $9.50 an hour would not force them to reduce hiring.

The Benefits of Raising the Minimum Wage for Government

Republicans often decry the expansion of the welfare state, and the increasing dependence of millions of Americans on government assistance - not to mention the huge budget deficit and the $17 trillion national debt.

Well, raising the minimum wage would be a great way to save the government billions of dollars. Republicans should be clamoring for it, not opposing it.

It's well-known than many of the working poor use public assistance to get by, effectively subsidizing the profits of big corporations like Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) and McDonald's Corp. (NYSE: MCD) with tens of billions in taxpayer money each year.

According to a Berkeley Labor Center Study, the federal government spends $7 billion a year on assistance to fast food workers alone.

And not only would raising the minimum wage save the government money, but it would  do something the Obama administration and the U.S. Federal Reserve have struggled to do for five years: jump-start the U.S. economy. And at no cost to taxpayers.

"In effect, [raising the minimum wage] represents an enormous government stimulus package, but one targeting the working-poor and funded entirely by the private sector," said Unz.

The real debate should not be whether to raise the minimum wage, but by how much. Clearly, going to, say, $15 an hour would have more negative consequences than positive ones. But an increase of $1 an hour or less probably wouldn't do enough.

And if Washington lawmakers really wanted a minimum wage that worked, they'd get creative. For example, Australia has a tiered minimum wage that pays younger workers less, since they're more likely to be living with parents.

Companies can choose between younger, less efficient, less responsible workers and older, more productive, but more expensive workers. (Another fun fact: Australia has an adult minimum wage of $16.37 an hour, with an unemployment rate of 5.7%.)

Ultimately, Congress must answer one simple question: Does raising the minimum wage do more harm than good, or more good than harm?

The answer should be obvious.

Action on raising the minimum wage will have to wait at least until Congress passes a Farm Bill, which is an odd bird that combines huge subsidies for farmers with the budget allocation for food stamps. But if Congress doesn't pass the bill by the end of the year, you'll be paying $8 a gallon for milk...

Related Articles:

Money Morning:
The Most Disturbing Fact About the U.S. Economy Today Bloomberg:
The Capitalist's Case for a $15 Minimum Wage New America Foundation:
Raising American Wages... by Raising American Wages Demos.org:
Retail's Hidden Potential (PDF)

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Union Divided on Whether to Vote on Boeing Offer

Hot Penny Stocks To Own For 2014

Union divided on whether to vote on Boeing offerReed Saxon/AP SEATTLE -- Leaders in the International Association of Machinists publicly differed Friday on whether to bring Boeing's (BA) latest contract offer to a vote, exposing tensions within the union over how to handle the high-stakes negotiations. National union spokesman Frank Larkin said Friday that officials were exploring the idea after hundreds of members demanded an opportunity to vote on the contract to secure work on the 777X airplane. Larkin said members have always had the final say and that they have every right to vote on the terms of the offer. But local union officials said Friday they don't see any point in bringing it to a vote because it's too similar to a contract the union rejected a month ago. "So, until Boeing changes its conditions, we don't have an offer to vote on," said District 751 President Tom Wroblewski in a statement. A latest round of contract talks collapsed Thursday after local officials with the Machinists said they couldn't recommend Boeing's latest proposal to members. Local Machinists spokesman Bryan Corliss says Boeing has withdrawn the contract offer. Boeing spokesman Doug Alder, however, said the offer was rejected by the union, not withdrawn. He declined further comment Friday. Local union officials have seemed to disagree with their national leaders in recent weeks on how to handle Boeing's offers. That division was clear last month, when local union members voted to reject a contract negotiated by IAM leadership. Boeing and the Machinists have been exploring a deal that would secure the production of the new 777X airplane in the Puget Sound and the thousands of jobs that come with it. This week, Boeing made some changes to its original contract offer, backing away from a proposal that would slow the rate at which employees rise up the pay scale and adding an additional $5,000 in bonus pay. The biggest sticking point appears to be the company's insistence that workers move from a traditional defined-benefit pension to a defined-contribution savings plan. The local machinists said the company's latest proposal was too high of a price to pay to secure the 777X. "I think you'll agree these were very minor changes, and not nearly enough to offset the things Boeing was trying to take away from you, and for the Machinists who will join us in the future," Wroblewski wrote in a message to members Friday morning. Looming over the talks is the prospect that the company could build the airplane elsewhere. Boeing said it has received proposals from 22 states eager for the 777X jobs, with some proposing multiple sites. The company said 54 sites are now being evaluated. In its own bid to win the 777X jobs, Washington state recently approved tax breaks for Boeing valued at $9 billion over the coming years, along with legislation to improve aerospace training programs and the permitting process. Chicago-based Boeing began offering the 777X in May, but it's still finalizing plans for the plane and aiming to deliver the first aircraft by the end of the decade. Boeing has said it is expected to carry as many as 400 passengers and be more fuel efficient than the current 777. At the Dubai Airshow last month, Boeing received orders for 225 such planes from three airlines.

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Facebook to Join S&P 500

Facebook(FB) is finally set to join the S&P 500, an announcement late Wednesday that prompted the stock to jump in after-hours trading.

The Menlo Park, Calif. company will join the broad stock index after the close of trading on Dec. 20, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced late Wednesday. Facebook will replace chip-testing equipment maker Teradyne Inc.(TER)

Facebook shares rose more than 4% in after-hours trading. The stock, which closed Wednesday at $49.38, is up 86% this year. Facebook’s market capitalization of about $123 billion means it will immediately catapult into the top 30 biggest companies in the S&P 500.

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The social network’s addition to the S&P 500 is expected to give a boost to the shares, spurred by buying from the many mutual and exchange-traded funds that track the index. Roughly $1.6 trillion were linked to the index at the end of last year, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices.

Facebook will join the S&P 500 19 months after the company started trading on the Nasdaq Stock Market(NDAQ) on May 18, 2012. Shares wavered out of the gate following a troubled launch, then amid concerns over whether the company could make money from mobile advertising. But investors over the summer put many of those concerns to rest following upbeat quarterly results. The stock pushed back above its $38 IPO price in August.

The move comes after months of speculation over when Facebook would finally join the index. It had qualified for the index in recent months, but was overlooked in the past few index changes, including last month when J.C. Penney Co.(JCP) was dropped from the index.

Facebook's wait to join the S&P 500 was roughly in line with Google Inc.(GOOG), which joined less than two years after its August 2004 IPO. Others waited longer. Amazon.com Inc.(AMZN), eBay Inc.(EBAY) and Yahoo Inc.(YHOO) each took over three years to join the S&P 500.

Facebook is also set to join the S&P 100, replacing Williams Cos.(WMB) The moves come amid a slew of changes S&P Dow Jones Indices announced late Wednesday.

S&P is a unit of McGraw Hill Financial Inc.(MHFI)

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Hong Kong stocks edge lower; Cinda soars on debut

LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) -- Hong Kong stocks started modestly lower Thursday, tracking broad weakness in Asia, with mainland Chinese banks mixed after the release of November lending data. The Hang Seng Index (HK:HSI) lost 0.2% to 23,288.02, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 0.4%. However, the Shanghai Composite (CN:SHCOMP) added 0.1% to 2,205.39 in choppy trade that saw it swing between positive and negative territory. Mainland Chinese banks saw mixed reaction after data showed new yuan-denominated loans rose to 624.6 billion yuan ($102 billion) in November, more than 100 billion yuan above the year-earlier figure and beating market forecasts of between 560 billion yuan and 580 billion yuan, according to the XInhua news agency. Among the top banks, Bank of China Ltd. (HK:3988) (BACHY) was up 0.3%, Bank of Communications Co. (HK:3328) (BKFCF) rose 0.2%, Agricultural Bank of China Ltd. (HK:1288) (ACGBF) traded flat, and Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. (HK:1398) (IDCBF) fell 0.6%. Shares of Aluminum Corp. of China Ltd. (HK:2600) (ACH) lost 0.7% after saying it could see a drop of up to 37% in output from a key Peruvian copper mine. Angang Steel Co. (HK:347) (ANGGF) , however, rose 1.1% after Citi raised its rating to buy from sell, while China Southern Airlines Co. (HK:1055) (ZNH) added 0.7%, with Kim Eng Securities citing news the carrier would add 6,700 flights to handle the Chinese New Year travel rush. China Cinda Asset Management Co. (HK:1359) , founded as a so-called "bad bank" to buy up trouble assets, jumped almost 21% in its first day of trade on the Hong Kong stocks exchange.

Read the full story:
Asia stocks mostly lower with Fed in focus

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Distributable Cash Is King

Print FriendlyMost MLP investors have two main concerns: the preservation of capital and reliable income — in that order. These two objectives are, of course, closely linked. An MLP that treats its investors to negative distribution surprises is likely to be an MLP that does a poor job of preserving capital. For example, Eagle Rock Energy Partners (Nasdaq: EROC) has lost 25 percent of its value since announcing a distribution cut in late October.

But how does an investor judge whether an MLP is at risk of a surprising distribution cut? As we discussed recently in The Unkindest Cut for MLPs, some classes of MLP are more susceptible to cuts than others. For variable distribution MLPs, it’s par for the course. Distributions go up, and they go down — depending on market conditions. MLPs focused on upstream oil and gas operations are also at greater risk of a distribution cut during periods of softening oil and gas prices.

However the vast majority of MLPs are in the midstream segment. Midstream MLPs own pipelines, energy storage systems, and energy processing facilities. Most revenues from midstream MLP assets are fee-based and are not directly affected by energy prices. Under most contracts of this type the customer pays whether or not they use the pipelines, energy storage or processing facility.

Investors want such MLPs to have a track record of consistently growing distributions over time. The longer the track record, the more at ease the investor, though some MLPs have increased distributions even when the underlying fundamentals weren’t strong enough to support an increase. If that situation persists, the MLP may eventually have to cut the distribution. The key is to look at the distributable cash flow (DCF) and the coverage ratio.

Distributable cash flow is the cash available for distribution to unitholders. However, DCF is not a Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) measure, and different MLPs define the term in different ways. From an investor’s point of view, you simply want to have some level of confidence that over the long-term there is enough excess cash being generated to pay the distribution.  

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Enterprise Product Partners (NYSE: EPD) is the largest MLP, and recently announced its 37th consecutive quarterly cash distribution increase. EPD defines DCF as follows:

“We define distributable cash flow as net income or loss attributable to partners adjusted for: (1) the addition of depreciation, amortization and accretion expense; (2) the addition of operating lease expenses for which we do not have the payment obligation; (3) the addition of cash distributions received from unconsolidated affiliates less equity earnings from unconsolidated affiliates; (4) the subtraction of sustaining capital expenditures and cash payments to settle asset retirement obligations; (5) the addition of losses or subtraction of gains from asset sales and related transactions; (6) the addition of cash proceeds from asset sales or related transactions; (7) the return of an investment in an unconsolidated affiliate or related transactions (if any); (8) the addition of losses or subtraction of gains on the monetization of derivative instruments recorded in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss); (9) the addition of net income attributable to the noncontrolling interest associated with the former public unitholders of Duncan Energy Partners L.P. (“Duncan”), less related cash distributions paid to such unitholders; and (10) the addition or subtraction of other miscellaneous non-cash amounts (as applicable) that affect net income or loss for the period.”

Such definitions may be intimidating to most investors. As a result, some investors have attempted to simplify the definition of distributable cash flow to the most important variables. One way to do this is to start with net income from the Cash Flow Statement, and then add back depreciation, amortization, depletion, and non-cash items, and then subtract the maintenance capital expenditures for the period.  

In the case of EPD, the net income for the trailing twelve months (TTM) at the end of Q3 2013 was $2.51 billion. Depreciation, amortization, depletion add back $1.19 billion to arrive at $3.70 billion. This accounts for most of the cash flow for the past year, but final adjustments to net income and changes in other operating activities (as shown on the Cash Flow Statement) result in a Total Cash Flow From Operating Activities (TTM) of $3.64 billion. We can now subtract maintenance capital of $297 million for the period (available from EPD’s quarterly reports) to arrive at $3.34 billion of DCF for the past 12 months.

EPD’s reported DCF for the period was actually $3.62 billion, about 8 percent more than the number calculated above. The difference is imparted by EPD’s definition of DCF, which adjusts for changes in working capital, risk management activities (such as gains or losses from hedging), and proceeds from sale of assets. Some have argued that, since these categories will add little to the bottom line over the long run, the stripped-down calculation in the previous paragraph is more indicative of the long-term ability to issue distributions.

The actual distribution to unit holders by EPD for the past 12 months was $2.35 billion. Thus the coverage ratio, even based on the more conservative DCF calculation, is $3.34 billion/$2.35 billion = 1.42. That’s more than respectable, and should give investors confidence that EPD can continue to grow its distribution.

While MLPs will sometimes have quarterly coverage ratios that fall below 1 for any number of reasons, an MLP whose coverage ratio is consistently below 1.0 deserves much closer scrutiny, and even more so if the subpar coverage persists for an entire year. MLPs that consistently distribute more than their distributable cash flow are in danger of having to cut distributions, which will generally entail a decline in the unit price.  

(Follow Robert Rapier on Twitter, LinkedIn, or Facebook.)


 


 

Monday, December 9, 2013

Energize Your Portfolio With this Oil Services Play CLB

The holiday season is heating up, while temperatures are dropping. Winter is well under way!

What better way to celebrate the season than to take a look at an industry we’re putting to good use this time of year: Energy. The energy sector is full of companies working to provide consumers and business with electricity, fuel, heat and many other services we put to constant use.

The energy sector gives investors a variety of options to put money into. Whether you’re interested in traditional oil and drilling companies, businesses dedicated to solar and other alternative energy sources or the corporations that provide energy equipment, there are stocks for every taste. So today we’ll see how the sector is performing as a whole, and I’ll share with you some of the best and worst energy plays on the market.

Let’s go ahead and see if the energy sector is helping warm up portfolios or burning investors.

Proceed With Caution

The energy sector can be a volatile place, as we all should be aware of after all the fluctuations it experienced this year. Surging and dropping oil prices, changes to federal regulations, availability and so many other factors may affect how the entire sector, not just a stock or two, perform.

The ishares Dow Jones U.S. Energy Sector Fund (IYE) tracks the performance of 99 major energy stocks in the U.S. IYE is actually up 20% for the year, but it has been trending downward over the past month. Meanwhile, the ishares S&P Global Energy Sector Fund (IXC) is up just 10% so far for the year. This fund, which also contains 99 holdings from all over the world, provides perhaps the best view of how the energy sector is faring on the global level. It has also fallen in the past month.

The energy sector is starting to take on water. The fact is that crude oil prices are now at the lowest level in about six months. The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that crude oil supplies have risen for 10 straight weeks and this put downward pressure on prices.

Meanwhile, the six-month nuclear pact with Iran caused the U.S. to unfreeze $8 billion in Iran assets recent. With the prospect of Iranian oil more easily hitting world markets, the increased U.S. crude oil production from the fracking boom, plus a glut of refined gasoline and diesel, the prices at the pump are expected to continue to meander lower.

My Top Energy Pick

That said, you should be careful when investing in oil or natural gas companies due to the glut piling up in the U.S. right now. The good news is, despite the volatility that’s inevitable in this sector, there are always pockets of strong companies that perform well no matter the industry conditions.

One such company is Core Laboratories (CLB), a company in the Netherlands that helps the oil and gas recovery. And right now, Core Laboratories’ services are in hot demand because oil companies are having difficulties extracting gas from traditional deposits and are now being forced to look to alternative sources and methods of extraction. Whether it’s fracking or oil recovery techniques, Core Laboratories does it all, including reservoir description, production enhancement and reservoir management services.

In my opinion, this is one of the safest energy plays out there right now. .

30 Energy Stocks To Sell

But for every Core Laboratories out there, there are dozens of other energy stocks that you should steer clear of. To get you started, here are the Top 30 big-name energy stocks that have become too hot to handle.

Symbol Company Name Quantitative Grade Fundamental Grade Total Grade
APC Anadarko Petroleum Corporation D C D
BHI Baker Hughes Incorporated D C D
CAM Cameron International Corporation F C D
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. F C F
CVX Chevron Corporation D C D
DVN Devon Energy Corporation F C D
E Eni SpA F D D
EC Ecopetrol SA F C D
ENB Enbridge Inc. F C D
ESV Ensco plc F C F
FTI FMC Technologies, Inc. F C D
IMO Imperial Oil Limited F D F
KMI Kinder Morgan, Inc. Class P F D D
KMP Kinder Morgan Energy Partners, L.P. F C D
MRO Marathon Oil Corporation F C D
NBL Noble Energy, Inc. D C D
NOV National Oilwell Varco, Inc. F C D
OKS ONEOK Partners, L.P. F C D
PAA Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. D C D
PBR Petroleo Brasileiro SA F D F
PSX Phillips 66 D D D
PTR PetroChina Co. Ltd. F C F
RIG Transocean Ltd. F C D
STO Statoil ASA F D F
TLM Talisman Energy Inc. D C D
TRP TransCanada Corporation F C D
TS Tenaris S.A. D D D
WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. F C D
WPZ Williams Partners L.P. F C D
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation F C D

Sunday, December 8, 2013

Year-End Financial To-Do List

What should I do before the end of the year to help with my finances?

Here are ten ways to take advantage of tax breaks, financial strategies and opportunities to boost your savings by year-end.

SEE ALSO: Knight Kiplinger's 8 Keys to Financial Security

1. Add more money to your 401(k). You can contribute up to $17,500 to your 401(k) for 2013 ($23,000 if you're 50 or older or will be by the end of the year), and you have until December 31 to reach that limit. You can't just add extra money into the account yourself; the pre-tax contributions must be made through payroll deduction. Ask your employer's payroll department what steps you need to take to increase your contributions starting with your next December payday. Some employers also let you contribute a lump sum directly from a year-end bonus, before the money is paid and taxed. See How to Increase 401(k) Contributions for more information about giving your retirement plan a boost at the end of the year.

2. Consider a Roth conversion. You have until December 31 to convert money from a traditional IRA to a Roth for 2013. You'll pay taxes on the conversion, but you'll be able to withdraw the money tax-free from the Roth in retirement. Making a Roth conversion is a particularly good idea if your income was lower in 2013 than in previous years. Ted Sarenski, a CPA and financial planner in Syracuse, N.Y., recommends looking at your income each year and calculating how much you could convert without bumping any of the money into the next tax bracket. Spreading your conversions over several years, especially after you retire, can help you avoid having to take big required minimum distributions after age 70½, which could trigger taxes on your Social Security benefits. If you convert and later change your mind because your tax situation changes -- say, because you lose your job before the tax bill is due next year or your investments lose money -- you have until October 15, 2014, to undo the conversion (called "recharacterization). "You have almost a whole year to look at it and see if you made the right move or not," says Sarenski. If you do recharacterize, you'll get the money back that you paid in taxes, and you can reconvert later, ideally with a lower tax bill. For more information about recharacterization, see Do-Over for a Roth Conversion. For more information about Roth conversion strategies, see The Complexities of Roth Conversions and our Roth IRA Special Report.

3. Take your required minimum distributions. If you're older than 70½, you generally need to take required minimum distributions from traditional IRAs, 401(k)s and other retirement-savings plans by December 31 (except for the year you turn 70½, when you're given a extension until April 1 to make your first withdrawal; also, you don't need to take RMDs from your current employer's 401(k) while you're still working). If you miss the deadline, the penalties can be big -- see IRS Cracks Down on Retirees Who Don't Take RMDs. If you haven't taken your RMD yet, contact your administrator soon so you have plenty of time to meet the December 31 deadline. See Calculating Your Required Minimum Distributions and our Required Minimum Distribution Special Report for more information. Also keep in mind that people older than age 70½ can contribute up to $100,000 from their IRAs to charity this year, which counts as their RMD but doesn't boost their adjusted gross income. See Tax-Free Transfers From IRAs to Charity Still Allowed for details.

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4. Make the most tax-effective charitable gifts. Giving money to charity before the end of the year is a great way to boost your deductions if you itemize. You can deduct all kinds of charitable contributions, including cash, stock and non-cash donations, such as the cost of ingredients you buy for a soup kitchen. Some giving strategies can stretch the tax benefits even further. For example, if you have highly appreciated stock you were planning on selling, consider giving the stock to the charity instead of cash. That way, you get a deduction for the full amount, but you avoid paying capital-gains taxes on the increase in value since you've owned it. See Charities: Give Stocks Instead for details. For a few ideas of ways you can give, see Expand Your Options for Charitable Giving, How to Set Up a Scholarship Fund and Donor-Advised Funds: Contribute Now, Donate Later.

5. Make energy-efficient home improvements. If you haven't claimed a tax credit of up to $500 in energy-efficient home improvements since 2006, you have until December 31 to do so. The break applies to 10% of the purchase price (not installation costs) of certain insulation materials, energy-efficient windows (which have a $200 limit), external doors and skylights, and roofing materials. You can count both materials and labor costs for certain energy-efficient central air conditioners, electric heat pumps, biomass stoves and water heaters powered by an electric heat pump (up to $300 each, with a maximum credit of $500), or up to $150 for an eligible natural gas, propane or oil furnace or hot water boiler. For more information, see Time Is Running Out on Energy-Efficient Home Improvement Tax Credits.

6. Check the deadline for cleaning out your flexible spending account. Until recently, many people had to deplete their FSAs by December 31 or lose whatever money was left in it. That meant December was a time of frantic spending as people raced to spend money at, say, the eye doctor or dentist. Recently, however, the U.S. Treasury Department and IRS changed the FSA rules to allow employers to let people carry over $500 in their FSAs from one year to the next (see Big Change to Flexible Spending Accounts for details). Some employers already offered a grace period until March 15, thanks to an earlier change in the rules by the IRS. But a few employers still require you to use the money by December 31 or lose it. In that case, now is a good time to order contact lenses, visit the eye doctor or dentist, buy new glasses or prescription sunglasses, or pay for other eligible medical expenses. See 7 Smart Uses for Your Flex Account Money for some more ideas.

7. Open a solo 401(k) for self-employment income. A solo 401(k) is one of the best ways for self-employed people to save for retirement. You can contribute up to $17,500 ($23,000 if you are 50 or older) plus up to 20% of your net self-employment income, up to a maximum contribution of $51,000 for 2013. You have until April 15, 2014, to make contributions for 2013, but you have to open the account by December 31 if you don't already have one. See How the Self-Employed Can Save for Retirement for details. Self-employed people should also time their equipment purchases and other expenses carefully over the next few weeks to make the most of the deductions for 2013. See Last-Minute Tax Breaks for the Self-Employed and Moonlighters for details.

8. Contribute to a 529 college-savings plan. This strategy is a win-win: The beneficiary of the account (for instance, your child, grandchild or the child of a friend) can use the money tax-free for college tuition, room and board, and fees. Plus, in many states, you get a state income tax deduction for your contribution. Many 529 plans require you to make your contributions by December 31 to count for that tax year (although some give you until April 15 of the following year). For details, see SavingforCollege.com. Also see Tax Breaks for Grandparents Who Help With College Costs.

9. Buy health insurance on the exchanges. For coverage that takes effect on January 1, you must buy the policy before December 23 (the deadline was extended from December 15 because of the problems with HealthCare.gov). If your income is below 400% of the federal poverty level -- about $46,000 for an individual and $94,000 for a family of four -- you may qualify for a subsidy to help with the premiums. See Calculating the Health Insurance Subsidy for details. After a very rocky start, HealthCare.gov is working better, and many states that run their own exchanges have improved their Web sites, too. See Navigating Around the Obamacare Sign-Up Problems for more ways to sign up for coverage.

10. Take advantage of other tax breaks. If you were planning to sell stocks soon, pulling the trigger before December could make a difference in your tax bill. See 4 Year-End Moves to Trim Your 2013 Tax Bill and 12 Smart Tax Moves to Make Now for more information about timing your capital gains and losses and other tax moves to make before New Year's Eve.

Got a question? Ask Kim at askkim@kiplinger.com.



Saturday, December 7, 2013

Market Wrap-Up for Nov. 29 – Have Faith, A Pullback Will Come Again

The S&P 500 is looking to extend weekly gains for the eighth straight week – the first streak of this length in an already bullish 2013. Day after day, investors and traders continue pushing stocks higher and higher to record numbers. While this yearly rally is good for investors already in the markets–they have continued to see gains in their brokerage accounts–frustration persists for those who are still waiting for substantial pullbacks in order to initiate positions.

Though it can be frustrating and hard to be patient when all you see is the continual rise of stocks, in the end this patience should pay off. It’s not necessarily all about what you buy that matters; when you buy is also a key factor in ensuring long-term wealth building. I’m not suggesting that you time the markets to buy at the bottom and sell at the top, but wait for an opportune time to put money into new investments. Have faith, a pullback will come.

Knowing When to Pull the Trigger

If you asked investors in the beginning of May if they were

Thursday, December 5, 2013

ADP: Private Employers Add 215,000 Jobs in November

private sector hiring adpRoss D. Franklin/AP Private sector job creation surged in November, with ADP reporting 215,000 new jobs in a number that could put some heat on the Federal Reserve to begin reducing its monthly stimulus. Economists expected ADP to report the private sector created 173,000 new jobs in November. "This feels pretty good," Mark Zandi, an economist with Moody's Analytics, which assists ADP in putting together the monthly report, said on CNBC. "I'm surprised at how well the job market held up in the face of what happened in Washington." Economists had expected the government shutdown in early October to put pressure on the job market, but that has not shown up in any of the data released since then. In fact, ADP (ADP) sharply revised its October number up to 184,000 from an initially reported 130,000. Services again led job creation with 176,000 new positions, though goods-producing added a healthy 40,000 in November, up from 29,000 in the previous month. Construction and manufacturing were good for another 18,000 jobs each. For manufacturing, it was the best month in nearly two years. As always, the numbers will be read through the prism of Fed policy. If the private payrolls count is an accurate barometer for the nonfarm payrolls reading the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases Friday, it could up the pressure for the U.S. central bank's Open markets Committee to ease off on the $85 billion in monthly bond purchases its carries out through its quantitative easing program. "The market is trying to work out whether good news is bad but clearly this report argues in favor of a December tapering at the FOMC," Andrew Wilkinson, chief economic strategist at Miller Tabak, said in a note.

Tuesday, December 3, 2013

Japan stocks fall on yen strength; Renesas climbs

LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) -- Stocks in Japan stumbled at the start of trading Wednesday, with the yen winning back a portion of recent losses against the U.S. dollar . The Nikkei Stock Average (JP:NIK) dropped 212 points, or 1.3%, to 15,538.10, and the broader Topix fell 0.9%. Auto stocks declined despite a climb in U.S. car sales in November. Shares of Nissan Motor Co. (JP:7201) (NSANY) pulled back 0.8%, and Toyota Motor Corp. (JP:7203) (TM) fell 0.6%. U.S. sales for Nissan and Toyota rose 11% and 6%, respectively. Honda Motor Co. shares (JP:7267) (HMC) lagged, down by 1.1% after sales for American Honda Motor decreased 0.1%. But shares of Renesas Electronics Corp. (JP:6723) (RNECY) stood out as they climbed 2.1% after a Nikkei newspaper report that Sony Corp. (JP:6758) (SNE) wants to buy Renesas's main chip-fabrication facility.

Monday, December 2, 2013

Underground drone economy takes flight

SAN FRANCISCO — Amazon.com CEO Jeff Bezos says in the future drones delivering packages will be as common as mail trucks. But for many entrepreneurs, the drone economy is already here.

"There are many people out there making extraordinary amounts of money," says Gene Robinson, who uses drones to help authorities with search and rescue missions. "You can even get liability insurance to operate now."

While the Federal Aviation Administration hasn't yet drafted regulations for the futuristic unmanned devices and limits their commercial use, some players have already plunged in:

Real estate specialist Manie Kohn uses drones to video luxury properties. Terence Reis flies them to photograph surfers. Brad Mathson monitors farmland in the Dakotas, while Ryan Kunde uses a drone to improve production at his vineyard.

Bezos thrust drones into the spotlight when he talked about his plans to use them to deliver packages on 60 Minutes Sunday night. But thanks to drones' ability to shoot aerial photos and video steadily and collect other data cheaply, they are already being used in many sectors, including movie making, sports, mining, oil and gas production and construction.

Most of the activity is outside the U.S. because of regulatory uncertainty. But there are a lot of U.S. drone operators who are either hobbyists, or who provide drone services for free or in return for donations. Business owners can also operate their own drones for their own benefit. And at times, money changes hands out of the FAA's gaze.

"I walk down the street and see drone dollars everywhere," says Patrick Egan, a drone consultant who heads the Silicon Valley chapter of the Association for Unmanned Vehicle Systems International, or AUVSI, a lobbying group for the industry. "The potential is huge, and thousands of people are already flying them around the U.S. making money."

Once the FAA drafts its drone regulations, integrating the devices into U.S. airspace could boost the economy by at least $13.6 ! billion in the first three years and the economic benefit may top $82 billion between 2015 and 2025, the AUVSI estimated earlier this year. It could also create more than 70,000 new jobs, including 34,000 manufacturing positions, in the first three years, the group forecast. In 10 years, it projects 100,000 jobs will be added.

Egan says those numbers don't account for the impact of future regulation, focused on safety and privacy, which could increase the cost of operating drones and reduce the value of the technology.

Despite such uncertainty, the commercial potential of drones has attracted big investors.

Airware, which makes software and systems that control drones, raised more than $10 million this year from Andreessen Horowitz, a big venture capital firm, and Google's venture capital arm.

"There will be a whole economy around it, with entrepreneurs creating technology for specific types of customers," says Chris Dixon, a partner at Andreessen Horowitz who joined Airware's board of directors. "There are a number of obvious applications, and lots of less-obvious applications that we haven't even thought of yet."

But a lot of the action involves individual entrepreneurs and small business owners who are using this new technology to either make more money from existing operations or branch out into new areas.

Drones have mostly been used by the U.S. military to shoot missiles at enemy combatants in countries such as Afghanistan and Pakistan. However, the cost of these unmanned aircraft has dropped precipitously in recent years, making them more affordable.

3D Robotics, a drone manufacturer run by former Wired magazine editor-in-chief Chris Anderson has already sold "tens of thousands" of drones and the company will soon launch a new model called IRIS, aimed at consumers and other individuals, that will cost about $750.

3D Robotics Chief Executive Chris Anderson (left) with the company's IRIS drone(Photo: 3D Robotics)

Drones cost millions of dollars just a few years ago, partly because the components needed to control them, such as global positioning systems, gyroscopes and accelerometers, were so expensive, according to Anderson. The boom in smartphones, which contain most of the same hardware, has increased production massively, lowering costs.

Says Anderson, "This is bringing technology from the military industrial complex within reach for lots of people."

REAL ESTATE

Manie Kohn, who works in the high-end real estate market of the San Francisco Bay Area, got his hands on drones for the first time about three years ago.

He used to use helicopters to shoot aerial photos and video of luxury properties for real estate agents who were willing to pay $20,000 for an extra service that could help win big commissions.

Manie Kohn pilots his Quadcopter.(Photo: Martin E. Klimek, USA TODAY)

But helicopters were expensive, noisy and limited in how low they could fly. So Kohn started building his own drones to do the job and has spent at least $45,000 developing the machines, getting trained to fly them, accumulating certifications and lining up insurance.

It took Kohn about a year to track down an insurer that would cover his drone operation. Transport Risk Management now provides him with coverage that starts at $1 million and covers damage to property, people and the drones themselves. The cost of the policy depends on proficiency, so Kohn had to get official training and certification.

"There is an ever growing deman! d for thi! s type of coverage," Dawnell West, an insurance agent at Transport Risk Management, wrote in a recent e-mail to Kohn.

PHOTOGRAPHY

Terence Reis, a 54-year-old IT professional based in Oahu, started using a drone this year for his part-time business, KahiwaKiwi Media Productions, which shoots surfing photos and takes other photos and video of Hawaii ocean life.

Reis spent about $5,000 on parts and equipment. But it has helped him take better pictures and video from locations that he couldn't have reached before.

Terry Reis, a Surf photographer in Hawaii, uses a XP2 quadcopter from Xproheli.(Photo: Terry Reis)

"Before, I would shoot from a helicopter, which was very expensive — about $300 to $400 an hour," he says. Helicopters also could not get low enough and they vibrated a lot, which meant the images had to be edited heavily. Reis's drone is steadier, which sometimes means no editing is needed.

"It gives a different dimension to my footage," he added. "It's opening up new doors to new clients."

FARMING

The biggest opportunities, at least initially, may be in agriculture, because big farms do not have many people on them, reducing the risk that wayward drones might cause injuries if and when they crash.

Dakota Precision Ag Center is using drones that cost about $3,000 to collect agricultural data that helps farmers produce more by monitoring crops and cattle and guiding watering and fertilizer application.

Brad Mathson, assistant director of the Dakota! Precisio! n Ag Center, holds a drone that is used to improve farm productivity(Photo: Dakota Precision Ag Center)

Using traditional methods, about 100 to 300 acres of farmland can be monitored a day, but using drones that number can rise to 2,000 or 3,000 acres a day, according to Brad Mathson, assistant director of the Dakota Precision Ag Center.

Ryan Kunde of DRNK Wines uses a drone to keep an eye on how grapevines are growing in his vineyard in Sonoma, Calif.

Kunde flies the drone over the vineyard, takes photos and uses software to stitch together a map of the area. By comparing maps at the same time of the season each year, he can spot which grapes are developing quickest, which helps to decide where to harvest first. The same drone images help with estimating crop sizes, giving Kunde more time to line up the right number of grape buyers.

"Any time I want to fly, I can get the drone in the air the same day," he says. "Satellites and helicopters need booking in advance and the drone can fly lower and capture better images."

MOVIES

The Motion Picture Association of America has been lobbying the Obama administration to let filmmakers use drones, arguing that putting a camera on an unmanned aircraft can be cheaper, safer and more useful than relying on a helicopter or a crane to get a difficult shot.

The effort has not borne fruit. But drones are already being used in making movies, TV shows and advertisements, according to Gus Calderone of IsisCopter LLC, which makes drones and related equipment.

Drones with rigs costing $25,000 carry cameras in Hollywood that weight about 15 pounds and are worth $30,000 to $40,000, he explains.

"This is a major underground market," Calderone says. "Some people are hiding. Others are in plain sight, and it's happening way more than people know."

SEARCH AND RESCUE

Gene Robinson runs his search and rescue service through a non-profit called RP Search Services, which uses drones with high-resolution cameras and inf! rared sen! sors to track down missing people and help authorities obtain access more safely to dangerous areas.

Gene Robinson launches a Spectra flying wing platform which can be configured to carry most any sensor and operate in just about any environment.(Photo: rpflightsystems)

RP Search Services receives donations and gets other payments to cover its costs, but it does not get any money beyond that, Robinson says, adding, "That would get us into trouble with the FAA."

GETTING U.S. FIRMS INTO THE GAME

The FAA said in 2007 that drones, or Unmanned Aircraft Systems, cannot be flown commercially. And so much of the world's commercial drone activity is happening outside the U.S.

The regulator aims to have regulations in place by 2015, and an FAA spokeswoman says it plans to propose a rule for small drones next year. It is also expected to pick six test sites by the end of this year.

The FAA is likely to come out with tiered regulations, according to Chris Anderson of 3D Robotics. Small drones may be regulated lightly, while heavier, faster drones that fly higher may face much stricter rules. Drone flights in very lightly populated areas will probably get cleared earlier than activity in urban areas, he predicts.

"This has the huge potential reshape the landscape of industries and the economy, but if drones are improperly deployed that would cause more harm than good," he says. "I'm not surprised the regulatory process is involved and lengthy."

Still, some commercial drone experts worry that the FAA is taking too long, giving a valuable head start to other countries such as Japan, Canada, the U.K., France and Australia.

"People are using this technology in a much more widespread way outside the U.S., especially in Australia,! which su! pports commercial applications," says Jonathan Downey, founder of Airware. "If the U.S. takes too long and the regulations are too restrictive, it will just be used in other countries, and the technology will be developed in other countries as well."

In France, Delta Drone has been training drone operators in its own school for about a year. The course takes roughly a week and then another three days to learn techniques for specific industries. Once trained, Delta Drone signs service contracts with companies, mostly in the mining industry currently, then brings the operators in as sub-contractors.

So far, 69 drone pilots have graduated and 80 should be trained by the end of 2013.

"It's growing very fast," Delta Drone co-founder Fabien Blanc-Paques said.